Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$931.37 - $1,097.32$1,028.35
Multi-Stage$215.00 - $235.71$225.16
Blended Fair Value$626.75
Current Price$97.01
Upside546.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.63%6.76%0.400.370.360.340.320.300.320.290.260.24
YoY Growth--7.75%4.23%4.84%5.98%5.41%-6.33%10.23%12.57%9.65%14.70%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.30%0.28%0.31%0.28%0.59%0.72%0.72%0.99%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)403.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)372.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.6450.4030.24
Cash Retained (M)372.50372.50372.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.64-50.40-30.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)291.86322.10342.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.414.835.10
WACC / Discount Rate5.62%5.62%5.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$931.37$1,028.35$1,097.32
Upside / Downside860.08%960.04%1,031.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)403.20429.41457.32487.05518.70552.42568.99
Payout Ratio7.61%24.09%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.70103.45185.53277.84381.37497.18526.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.62%5.62%5.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)97.0297.9498.86
Year 2 PV (M)163.19166.30169.44
Year 3 PV (M)229.21235.79242.50
Year 4 PV (M)295.07306.42318.09
Year 5 PV (M)360.79378.21396.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,565.5115,269.0315,999.48
Equity Value (M)15,710.8016,453.7017,224.68
Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
Fair Value$215.00$225.16$235.71
Upside / Downside121.62%132.10%142.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 87 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
603809.SSChengdu Haoneng Technology Co., Ltd.1.36%$0.2048.76%
6762.TTDK Corporation1.36%$29.9838.24%
688112.SSSiglent Technologies Co. Ltd.1.36%$0.5161.60%
BMAX.STByggmax Group AB (publ)1.36%$0.7525.00%
MAFIA.BOMafia Trends Limited1.36%$0.106.08%
SOF.BRSofina S.A.1.36%$3.3513.13%
000526.SZXueda (Xiamen) Education Technology Group Co., Ltd.1.35%$0.5327.07%
000589.SZGuizhou Tyre Co.,Ltd.1.35%$0.0723.21%
002080.SZSinoma Science & Technology Co.,Ltd.1.35%$0.4946.74%
002154.SZBaoxiniao Holding Co., Ltd.1.35%$0.0524.04%
0NCA.LIVU Traffic Technologies AG1.35%$0.2836.18%
0Z4C.LSika AG1.35%$3.4522.59%
300664.SZPenyao Environmental Protection Co., Ltd.1.35%$0.0723.72%
300699.SZWeihai Guangwei Composites Co., Ltd.1.35%$0.5381.03%
4744.TWOCVC Technologies Inc.1.35%$0.4019.08%
5250.KL7-Eleven Malaysia Holdings Berhad1.35%$0.0399.62%
603129.SSZhejiang Cfmoto Power Co.,Ltd1.35%$3.7632.64%
605567.SSSpringsnow Food Group Co., Ltd.1.35%$0.1574.16%
9412.TSKY Perfect JSAT Holdings Inc.1.35%$26.9836.14%
EZ8.SGKoskisen Corp1.35%$0.1130.31%
NTT.WANTT System S.A.1.35%$0.159.49%
000623.SZJilin Aodong Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.1.34%$0.2611.53%
002125.SZXiangtan Electrochemical Scientific Co.,Ltd1.34%$0.1952.47%
002286.SZBaolingbao Biology Co.,Ltd.1.34%$0.1230.68%
002649.SZBeyondsoft Corporation1.34%$0.1880.12%
002840.KSMiwon Commercial Co., Ltd.1.34%$2,019.6520.97%
003015.SZJiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics Jointstock Co., Ltd1.34%$0.2163.51%
0ABX.LBarrick Gold Corporation1.34%$0.4024.89%
0RE6.LWalliser Kantonalbank1.34%$1.7915.93%
300200.SZBeijing Comens New Materials Co.,Ltd.1.34%$0.1646.96%
300693.SZShenzhen Sinexcel Electric Co.,Ltd.1.34%$0.5136.89%
600864.SSHarbin Hatou Investment Co.,Ltd1.34%$0.0929.81%
601375.SSCentral China Securities Co., Ltd.1.34%$0.0656.73%
603341.SSShanghai Longcheer Technology Co., Ltd.1.34%$0.5745.24%
BAFARB.MXGrupo Bafar, S.A.B. de C.V.1.34%$1.4720.49%
HEXT.NSHexaware Technologies Ltd1.34%$10.0844.61%
MALLPLAZA.SNPlaza S.A.1.34%$42.8714.38%
PLNW.PAPlanisware Promesses1.34%$0.3135.26%
RADL3.SARaia Drogasil S.A.1.34%$0.3240.62%
TWC.TOTWC Enterprises Limited1.34%$0.3322.94%
000758.SZChina Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and Construction Co.,Ltd.1.33%$0.0933.17%
000788.SZPKU HealthCare Corp.,Ltd.1.33%$0.0833.62%
001395.SZYalian Machinery Co Ltd1.33%$0.5829.94%
002988.SZGuangdong Haomei New Material Co., Ltd.1.33%$0.4966.13%
0G1T.LWavestone S.A.1.33%$0.6912.69%
300387.SZHubei Forbon Technology Co.,Ltd.1.33%$0.1139.86%
5439.TWOFirst Hi-tec Enterprise Co., Ltd.1.33%$4.1077.78%
601827.SSChongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp., Ltd.1.33%$0.1114.96%
603739.SSQingdao Vland Biotech Inc.1.33%$0.1957.16%
6504.TFuji Electric Co., Ltd.1.33%$157.8227.92%