Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shinyoung Securities Co., Ltd. (001720.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$435,216.03 - $1,470,652.36$712,602.74
Multi-Stage$282,994.93 - $309,188.64$295,854.02
Blended Fair Value$504,228.38
Current Price$121,000.00
Upside316.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.65%7.21%5,222.134,452.794,135.824,645.302,915.073,293.903,721.593,253.912,962.532,931.51
YoY Growth--17.28%7.66%-10.97%59.35%-11.50%-11.49%14.37%9.84%1.06%12.61%
Dividend Yield--4.32%6.25%7.43%8.42%4.48%7.73%6.20%5.74%5.39%5.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126,844.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41,845.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)84,999.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25,368.9015,855.569,513.34
Cash Retained (M)84,999.1184,999.1184,999.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-25,368.90-15,855.56-9,513.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)59,630.2169,143.5575,485.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.018.018.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share7,443.548,631.089,422.77
LTM Dividend per Share5,223.495,223.495,223.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share7,443.548,631.089,422.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend12,667.0313,854.5714,646.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$435,216.03$712,602.74$1,470,652.36
Upside / Downside259.68%488.93%1,115.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126,844.51135,089.40143,870.21153,221.78163,181.19173,787.97179,001.61
Payout Ratio32.99%44.39%55.79%67.20%78.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41,845.4059,968.3780,270.53102,958.61128,257.00156,409.17165,576.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)54,715.8255,234.4555,753.08
Year 2 PV (M)66,824.7668,097.5969,382.42
Year 3 PV (M)78,205.0180,450.0082,737.54
Year 4 PV (M)88,888.1092,306.4895,822.53
Year 5 PV (M)98,904.35103,681.47108,641.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,879,534.381,970,316.592,064,573.25
Equity Value (M)2,267,072.412,370,086.572,476,910.23
Shares Outstanding (M)8.018.018.01
Fair Value$282,994.93$295,854.02$309,188.64
Upside / Downside133.88%144.51%155.53%

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