Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Timken Company (TKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.60 - $110.29$81.24
Multi-Stage$80.31 - $88.08$84.13
Blended Fair Value$82.68
Current Price$75.18
Upside9.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.51%0.62%1.371.341.301.311.241.211.221.181.161.24
YoY Growth--2.23%2.51%-0.54%5.98%2.47%-0.93%2.88%2.08%-6.21%-3.65%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.52%1.59%2.16%1.52%3.73%2.68%2.70%2.57%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.4637.1622.30
Cash Retained (M)199.50199.50199.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.46-37.16-22.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.04162.34177.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.703.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.48%7.48%7.48%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$60.60$81.24$110.29
Upside / Downside-19.39%8.06%46.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.30305.64314.21323.03332.09341.40351.64
Payout Ratio32.90%44.32%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.80135.45175.13216.94260.95307.26325.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.48%7.48%7.48%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)124.79126.02127.24
Year 2 PV (M)148.66151.59154.56
Year 3 PV (M)169.66174.71179.85
Year 4 PV (M)188.02195.52203.24
Year 5 PV (M)203.97214.19224.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,815.505,056.705,307.46
Equity Value (M)5,650.605,918.726,197.16
Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
Fair Value$80.31$84.13$88.08
Upside / Downside6.83%11.90%17.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 86 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
LTMC.MILottomatica Group S.p.A.1.41%$0.3155.88%
002064.SZHuafon Chemical Co., Ltd.1.40%$0.1545.82%
002203.SZZhe Jiang Hai Liang Co., Ltd1.40%$0.1852.28%
002357.SZSichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd.1.40%$0.1525.09%
300105.SZYanTai LongYuan Power Technology Co., Ltd.1.40%$0.1064.82%
4005.SRNational Medical Care Company1.40%$2.0028.58%
600517.SSState Grid Yingda Co.,Ltd.1.40%$0.0820.41%
CCL-A.TOCCL Industries Inc.1.40%$1.2527.03%
CGAUCenterra Gold Inc.1.40%$0.2012.28%
MHKI.JKMulti Hanna Kreasindo Tbk.1.40%$2.9229.72%
ROVIO.HERovio Entertainment Oyj1.40%$0.1342.86%
000750.SZSealand Securities Co., Ltd.1.39%$0.0639.70%
011210.KSHYUNDAI WIA Corporation1.39%$1,101.7920.24%
2610.HKNanshan Aluminium Intrnatnl Holdings Ltd1.39%$0.6969.79%
272290.KQINNOX Advanced Materials Co.,Ltd.1.39%$328.809.47%
301158.SZDezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd.1.39%$0.3135.01%
600777.SSShandong Xinchao Energy Corporation Limited1.39%$0.0521.18%
603393.SSXinjiang Xintai Natural Gas Co., Ltd.1.39%$0.3714.02%
CLAS-B.STClas Ohlson AB (publ)1.39%$4.2228.54%
GMG.AXGoodman Group1.39%$0.4354.37%
LASP.COLån & Spar Bank A/S1.39%$20.0415.86%
000061.SZShenzhen Agricultural Products Group Co., Ltd.1.38%$0.1471.88%
002536.SZFeilong Auto Components Co., Ltd.1.38%$0.4167.28%
002797.SZFirst Capital Securities Co., Ltd.1.38%$0.0938.51%
2172.HKMicroPort NeuroTech Limited1.38%$0.1621.06%
600549.SSXiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd.1.38%$0.5642.55%
603203.SSQuick Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd.1.38%$0.5151.54%
688597.SSBeijing Yupont Electric Power Technology Co., Ltd.1.38%$0.1138.03%
9422.TConexio Corporation1.38%$26.3532.61%
FESTI.ICFesti hf.1.38%$4.4930.70%
FSIFlexible Solutions International, Inc.1.38%$0.0927.13%
OMED.JKPT Jayamas Medica Industri Tbk1.38%$2.8823.51%
RY4C.DERyanair Holdings plc1.38%$0.4118.55%
SELIC.BKSelic Corp Public Company Limited1.38%$0.0417.06%
TALF.JKPT Tunas Alfin Tbk1.38%$8.0038.14%
YRM.MIRosetti Marino S.p.A.1.38%$4.0036.08%
000795.SZInnuovo Technology Co., Ltd.1.37%$0.1461.81%
001268.SZGuangdong Yangshan United Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd.1.37%$0.4964.59%
600196.SSShanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd.1.37%$0.3629.17%
603707.SSNanjing King-Friend Biochemical Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd1.37%$0.1230.81%
605222.SSShanghai QiFan Cable Co., Ltd1.37%$0.2569.76%
6782.TWVisco Vision Inc.1.37%$2.3921.51%
LINLinde plc1.37%$5.8839.08%
RAY-B.STRaySearch Laboratories AB (publ)1.37%$3.0046.95%
SHAWGELTIN.BONarmada Gelatines Limited1.37%$5.0013.05%
006220.KSJeju Bank1.36%$156.0067.72%
2505.HKEDA Group Holdings Limited1.36%$0.028.61%
300207.SZSunwoda Electronic Co.,Ltd1.36%$0.3539.10%
300993.SZShandong Yuma Sun-shading Technology Corp., Ltd.1.36%$0.2035.95%
3794.KLMalayan Cement Berhad1.36%$0.1129.56%