Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Power Assets Holdings Limited (0006.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$125.94 - $309.85$188.05
Multi-Stage$96.09 - $104.54$100.24
Blended Fair Value$144.15
Current Price$50.45
Upside185.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.11%0.92%2.822.822.822.822.802.808.8115.312.722.69
YoY Growth--0.02%-0.17%0.00%0.72%0.00%-68.18%-42.44%462.14%1.11%4.67%
Dividend Yield--5.20%6.22%6.61%5.81%6.68%4.92%16.17%23.17%4.74%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,205.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,020.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)185.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,441.001,525.63915.38
Cash Retained (M)185.00185.00185.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,441.00-1,525.63-915.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,256.00-1,340.63-730.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,131.112,131.112,131.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.06-0.63-0.34
LTM Dividend per Share5.645.645.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.06-0.63-0.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.585.015.30
WACC / Discount Rate9.34%9.34%9.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$125.94$188.05$309.85
Upside / Downside149.64%272.75%514.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,205.0012,998.3313,843.2214,743.0315,701.3216,721.9117,223.56
Payout Ratio98.48%96.79%95.09%93.39%91.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,020.0012,580.7413,163.5913,769.0614,397.6215,049.7215,931.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.34%9.34%9.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11,398.2511,506.2911,614.33
Year 2 PV (M)10,805.3311,011.1411,218.89
Year 3 PV (M)10,239.9910,533.9510,833.47
Year 4 PV (M)9,701.0310,074.1110,457.84
Year 5 PV (M)9,187.299,631.0410,091.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)153,452.54160,864.36168,559.84
Equity Value (M)204,784.44213,620.88222,776.15
Shares Outstanding (M)2,131.112,131.112,131.11
Fair Value$96.09$100.24$104.54
Upside / Downside90.47%98.69%107.21%

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