Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$137.53 - $329.55$203.60
Multi-Stage$119.06 - $129.73$124.30
Blended Fair Value$163.95
Current Price$83.53
Upside96.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.07%8.60%6.346.316.014.043.963.753.543.263.112.97
YoY Growth--0.50%5.04%48.79%1.87%5.64%6.08%8.66%4.84%4.67%6.72%
Dividend Yield--5.77%4.28%3.10%1.88%2.33%4.02%3.09%3.11%2.89%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,502.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,395.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,100.40687.75412.65
Cash Retained (M)107.00107.00107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,100.40-687.75-412.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-993.40-580.75-305.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.346.346.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.175.665.98
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Fair Value$137.53$203.60$329.55
Upside / Downside64.64%143.74%294.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,502.005,811.836,139.106,484.806,849.977,235.707,452.78
Payout Ratio98.06%96.44%94.83%93.22%91.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,395.005,605.175,821.906,045.276,275.336,512.136,893.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.57%8.57%8.57%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Year 1 PV (M)5,114.035,162.905,211.78
Year 2 PV (M)4,846.334,939.415,033.38
Year 3 PV (M)4,591.334,724.234,859.68
Year 4 PV (M)4,348.444,517.084,690.57
Year 5 PV (M)4,117.134,317.674,525.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)78,301.1482,115.1286,076.29
Equity Value (M)101,318.39105,776.41110,397.65
Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
Fair Value$119.06$124.30$129.73
Upside / Downside42.53%48.80%55.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 83 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
300019.SZChengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co.,Ltd.1.52%$0.3140.29%
4009.SRMiddle East Healthcare Company1.52%$0.5012.40%
5482.TAichi Steel Corporation1.52%$44.2730.27%
600711.SSChengtun Mining Group Co., Ltd.1.52%$0.2335.49%
9435.THikari Tsushin, Inc.1.52%$664.2429.23%
CEGR3.SACompanhia Distribuidora de Gás do Rio de Janeiro - CEG1.52%$1.4751.97%
INVE-A.STInvestor AB (publ)1.52%$4.9521.54%
JDAN.COJeudan A/S1.52%$3.0017.56%
MYG.AXMayfield Group Holdings Limited1.52%$0.0538.65%
001213.SZChina Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd.1.51%$0.0647.84%
002358.SZHenan Senyuan Electric Co., Ltd.1.51%$0.0874.78%
0QNO.LLonza Group AG1.51%$8.1143.57%
2332.TQuest Co., Ltd.1.51%$24.2217.41%
2517.HKGuoquan Food (Shanghai) Co Ltd1.51%$0.0528.47%
300092.SZSichuan Kexin Mechanical and Electrical Equipment Co.,Ltd1.51%$0.2480.12%
300596.SZRianlon Corporation1.51%$0.6428.93%
4030.SRThe National Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia1.51%$0.4421.11%
4578.TOtsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.1.51%$134.3915.80%
600109.SSSinolink Securities Co., Ltd.1.51%$0.1420.84%
601211.SSGuotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd.1.51%$0.3120.62%
603700.SSNingbo Water Meter (Group) Co., Ltd.1.51%$0.2044.19%
NWO.DENew Work SE1.51%$1.0047.05%
000968.SZShanxi Blue Flame Holding Company Limited1.50%$0.1023.97%
002262.SZJiangsu Nhwa Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.1.50%$0.3629.87%
0QDX.ILAB Sagax (publ)1.50%$2.9642.30%
300986.SZJiangxi GETO New Materials Corporation Limited1.50%$0.1749.99%
600389.SSNantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co.,Ltd.1.50%$0.3834.07%
605166.SSJuheshun Advanced Material Co., Ltd.1.50%$0.1625.21%
605555.SSNingbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made Co., Ltd.1.50%$0.2849.12%
6113.HKBitStrat Holdings Limited1.50%$0.0346.13%
688188.SSShanghai BOCHU Electronic Technology Corporation Limited.1.50%$2.0455.83%
7472.TTOBA, Inc.1.50%$61.0518.55%
ABSO.STAbsolent Air Care Group AB (publ)1.50%$3.2542.64%
RIPLEY.SNRipley Corp S.A.1.50%$6.2516.33%
001311.SZChuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co., Ltd.1.49%$0.4853.94%
002698.SZHarbin Boshi Automation Co., Ltd.1.49%$0.2551.93%
077500.KSUniquest Corporation1.49%$99.9929.08%
0QQZ.LSt. Galler Kantonalbank AG1.49%$8.5111.89%
0YU.DEYum China Holdings Inc1.49%$0.7532.86%
300307.SZNingbo Cixing Co.,Ltd.1.49%$0.1187.46%
300841.SZChengdu Kanghua Biological Products Co., Ltd.1.49%$1.0877.05%
600827.SSShanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd.1.49%$0.1398.59%
601113.SSYiwu Huading Nylon Co.,Ltd.1.49%$0.0721.89%
601990.SSNanjing Securities Co., Ltd.1.49%$0.1235.60%
6361.TEbara Corporation1.49%$54.9334.55%
6370.TKurita Water Industries Ltd.1.49%$94.5546.04%
6969.HKSmoore International Holdings Limited1.49%$0.1840.81%
8842.TTokyo Rakutenchi Co.,Ltd.1.49%$99.7279.28%
B3SA3.SAB3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão1.49%$0.2021.40%
STMMI.MISTMicroelectronics N.V.1.49%$0.3559.85%