Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

One REIT, Inc. (3290.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$352,908.34 - $718,493.86$493,677.52
Multi-Stage$442,216.07 - $484,177.12$462,804.64
Blended Fair Value$478,241.08
Current Price$89,600.00
Upside433.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.02%6.85%9,367.219,005.919,305.429,381.059,293.288,901.727,440.406,560.364,881.614,447.35
YoY Growth--4.01%-3.22%-0.81%0.94%4.40%19.64%13.41%34.39%9.76%-7.93%
Dividend Yield--10.45%10.71%10.95%10.36%8.50%10.36%7.22%7.95%6.82%6.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,238.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,461.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,776.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,647.661,029.79617.87
Cash Retained (M)2,776.792,776.792,776.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,647.66-1,029.79-617.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,129.131,747.002,158.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.400.400.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,803.884,338.205,361.07
LTM Dividend per Share13,562.1313,562.1313,562.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,803.884,338.205,361.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend16,366.0217,900.3318,923.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate2.44%3.44%4.44%
Fair Value$352,908.34$493,677.52$718,493.86
Upside / Downside293.87%450.98%701.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,238.288,521.878,815.229,118.679,432.579,757.2710,049.99
Payout Ratio66.29%71.04%75.78%80.52%85.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,461.506,053.546,679.877,342.148,042.108,781.549,296.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate2.44%3.44%4.44%
Year 1 PV (M)5,592.735,647.325,701.92
Year 2 PV (M)5,701.605,813.465,926.40
Year 3 PV (M)5,789.835,961.056,135.61
Year 4 PV (M)5,859.056,091.206,330.17
Year 5 PV (M)5,910.766,204.946,510.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)149,227.32156,654.40164,374.28
Equity Value (M)178,081.29186,372.36194,979.09
Shares Outstanding (M)0.400.400.40
Fair Value$442,216.07$462,804.64$484,177.12
Upside / Downside393.54%416.52%440.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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