Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Banco ABC Brasil S.A. (ABCB4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$685.58 - $807.73$756.96
Multi-Stage$273.73 - $300.24$286.74
Blended Fair Value$521.85
Current Price$23.25
Upside2,144.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--334.02%78.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.05%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)969.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)266.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)703.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)193.91121.1972.72
Cash Retained (M)703.23703.23703.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-193.91-121.19-72.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)509.32582.04630.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)238.72238.72238.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.132.442.64
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.132.442.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.253.553.76
WACC / Discount Rate4.56%4.56%4.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$685.58$756.96$807.73
Upside / Downside2,848.72%3,155.73%3,374.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)969.551,032.571,099.691,171.171,247.291,328.371,368.22
Payout Ratio27.47%39.97%52.48%64.99%77.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)266.32412.77577.13761.11966.571,195.531,265.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.56%4.56%4.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)391.07394.78398.49
Year 2 PV (M)518.06527.93537.89
Year 3 PV (M)647.31665.89684.82
Year 4 PV (M)778.84808.80839.60
Year 5 PV (M)912.70956.791,002.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,096.0365,095.2968,209.34
Equity Value (M)65,344.0168,449.4771,672.70
Shares Outstanding (M)238.72238.72238.72
Fair Value$273.73$286.74$300.24
Upside / Downside1,077.33%1,133.28%1,191.35%

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