DDM Analysis: YUM

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$98.18 - $217.79	$141.60
Multi-Stage	$101.33 - $110.86	$106.00
Blended Fair Value	$123.80
Current Price	$152.00
Upside	-18.55%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.03%	1.18%	2.66	2.40	2.30	2.09	2.00	1.81	1.63	1.47	2.63	2.58
YoY Growth	-	-	10.91%	4.47%	9.63%	4.59%	10.76%	10.61%	11.06%	-44.09%	1.92%	9.12%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.69%	1.71%	1.74%	1.77%	1.85%	2.64%	1.62%	1.73%	4.12%	4.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,432.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	779.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	653.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	286.40	179.00	107.40
Cash Retained (M)	653.00	653.00	653.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-286.40	-179.00	-107.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)	366.60	474.00	545.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	282.75	282.75	282.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.30	1.68	1.93
LTM Dividend per Share	2.76	2.76	2.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.30	1.68	1.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.05	4.43	4.68
WACC / Discount Rate	7.67%	7.67%	7.67%
Growth Rate	3.40%	4.40%	5.40%
Fair Value	$98.18	$141.60	$217.79
Upside / Downside	-35.41%	-6.84%	43.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,432.00	1,495.03	1,560.83	1,629.53	1,701.25	1,776.13	1,829.41
Payout Ratio	54.40%	61.52%	68.64%	75.76%	82.88%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	779.00	919.73	1,071.35	1,234.53	1,409.99	1,598.51	1,692.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.67%	7.67%	7.67%
Growth Rate	3.40%	4.40%	5.40%
Year 1 PV (M)	846.05	854.23	862.41
Year 2 PV (M)	906.55	924.17	941.96
Year 3 PV (M)	960.93	989.08	1,017.78
Year 4 PV (M)	1,009.58	1,049.21	1,089.99
Year 5 PV (M)	1,052.86	1,104.77	1,158.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	23,873.93	25,050.90	26,273.85
Equity Value (M)	28,649.90	29,972.36	31,344.69
Shares Outstanding (M)	282.75	282.75	282.75
Fair Value	$101.33	$106.00	$110.86
Upside / Downside	-33.34%	-30.26%	-27.07%

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Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener