Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sonae, SGPS, S.A. (YSON.F)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.99 - $25.94$24.29
Multi-Stage$33.38 - $36.89$35.10
Blended Fair Value$29.70
Current Price$1.33
Upside2,132.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-12.26%0.00%0.080.080.050.050.090.160.070.040.000.00
YoY Growth---0.63%64.79%2.11%-45.23%-43.23%113.53%81.53%2,866.43%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.71%9.44%4.94%4.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)272.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)164.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)108.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.6034.1220.47
Cash Retained (M)108.12108.12108.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.60-34.12-20.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.5273.9987.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,946.951,946.951,946.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate-17.91%-17.91%-17.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$21.99$24.29$25.94
Upside / Downside1,553.05%1,726.48%1,850.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)272.99270.26267.56264.88262.23259.61267.40
Payout Ratio60.40%66.32%72.24%78.16%84.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)164.87179.23193.28207.03220.48233.65247.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-17.91%-17.91%-17.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)216.12218.33220.53
Year 2 PV (M)281.04286.80292.63
Year 3 PV (M)363.00374.23385.68
Year 4 PV (M)466.18485.50505.41
Year 5 PV (M)595.71626.73659.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,062.3366,346.1369,765.32
Equity Value (M)64,984.3768,337.7171,828.61
Shares Outstanding (M)1,946.951,946.951,946.95
Fair Value$33.38$35.10$36.89
Upside / Downside2,409.58%2,539.08%2,673.89%

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