DDM Analysis: WSM

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$157.14 - $318.38	$219.41
Multi-Stage	$118.32 - $129.11	$123.62
Blended Fair Value	$171.52
Current Price	$192.62
Upside	-10.96%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	13.20%	8.34%	2.25	1.87	1.75	1.51	1.27	1.21	1.13	1.09	1.08	1.03
YoY Growth	-	-	20.47%	6.96%	15.89%	18.96%	4.65%	7.35%	3.94%	1.10%	4.62%	1.49%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.42%	1.31%	2.95%	2.19%	1.45%	3.87%	4.03%	4.55%	4.11%	3.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,105.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	307.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)	797.48

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	221.06	138.16	82.90
Cash Retained (M)	797.48	797.48	797.48
(-) Cash Required (M)	-221.06	-138.16	-82.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)	576.42	659.32	714.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	124.22	124.22	124.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.64	5.31	5.75
LTM Dividend per Share	2.48	2.48	2.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.64	5.31	5.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.12	7.79	8.23
WACC / Discount Rate	10.28%	10.28%	10.28%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$157.14	$219.41	$318.38
Upside / Downside	-18.42%	13.91%	65.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,105.30	1,177.15	1,253.66	1,335.15	1,421.94	1,514.36	1,559.79
Payout Ratio	27.85%	40.28%	52.71%	65.14%	77.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	307.83	474.15	660.81	869.72	1,103.00	1,362.93	1,442.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.28%	10.28%	10.28%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	425.92	429.96	434.00
Year 2 PV (M)	533.20	543.36	553.61
Year 3 PV (M)	630.39	648.48	666.92
Year 4 PV (M)	718.15	745.77	774.17
Year 5 PV (M)	797.12	835.62	875.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)	11,592.73	12,152.66	12,734.03
Equity Value (M)	14,697.51	15,355.85	16,038.32
Shares Outstanding (M)	124.22	124.22	124.22
Fair Value	$118.32	$123.62	$129.11
Upside / Downside	-38.57%	-35.82%	-32.97%

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Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener