Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,937.85 - $3,461.70$3,243.93
Multi-Stage$910.90 - $999.74$954.49
Blended Fair Value$2,099.21
Current Price$137.09
Upside1,431.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.530.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)122.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)113.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.5315.339.20
Cash Retained (M)113.34113.34113.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.53-15.33-9.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)88.8198.01104.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.007.007.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.6914.0014.88
LTM Dividend per Share1.331.331.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.6914.0014.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.0115.3316.20
WACC / Discount Rate4.93%4.93%4.93%
Growth Rate4.83%5.83%6.83%
Fair Value$2,937.85$3,243.93$3,461.70
Upside / Downside2,043.01%2,266.28%2,425.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)122.63129.78137.34145.34153.81162.77167.65
Payout Ratio7.58%24.06%40.55%57.03%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.2931.2355.6982.89113.07146.49155.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.93%4.93%4.93%
Growth Rate4.83%5.83%6.83%
Year 1 PV (M)29.4829.7630.04
Year 2 PV (M)49.6350.5851.54
Year 3 PV (M)69.7371.7573.80
Year 4 PV (M)89.8093.2896.85
Year 5 PV (M)109.83115.17120.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,028.746,321.846,626.23
Equity Value (M)6,377.216,682.376,999.18
Shares Outstanding (M)7.007.007.00
Fair Value$910.90$954.49$999.74
Upside / Downside564.45%596.25%629.26%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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