Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Invesco Trust for Investment Grade New York Municipals (VTN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.49 - $7.41$6.47
Multi-Stage$18.12 - $20.06$19.07
Blended Fair Value$12.77
Current Price$10.71
Upside19.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-7.65%-7.83%0.400.400.490.610.590.600.680.740.800.88
YoY Growth--0.41%-17.91%-19.55%3.60%-2.24%-11.16%-8.41%-8.19%-8.71%-3.34%
Dividend Yield--3.76%3.81%4.84%4.98%4.47%4.42%5.21%5.64%5.96%5.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.452.781.67
Cash Retained (M)7.577.577.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.45-2.78-1.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.124.795.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.2618.2618.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.260.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.800.800.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.260.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.971.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-9.65%-8.65%-7.65%
Fair Value$5.49$6.47$7.41
Upside / Downside-48.76%-39.57%-30.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.2520.3218.5716.9615.4914.1514.58
Payout Ratio65.99%70.79%75.59%80.39%85.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.6814.3914.0313.6313.2012.7413.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-9.65%-8.65%-7.65%
Year 1 PV (M)13.3713.5213.67
Year 2 PV (M)12.1312.4012.67
Year 3 PV (M)10.9511.3211.70
Year 4 PV (M)9.8610.3010.76
Year 5 PV (M)8.849.349.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)275.78291.39307.69
Equity Value (M)330.94348.27366.35
Shares Outstanding (M)18.2618.2618.26
Fair Value$18.12$19.07$20.06
Upside / Downside69.22%78.08%87.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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