Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

USCB Financial Holdings, Inc. (USCB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.17 - $23.74$19.11
Multi-Stage$35.90 - $39.58$37.70
Blended Fair Value$28.41
Current Price$17.45
Upside62.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.090.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.333.962.37
Cash Retained (M)25.7325.7325.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.33-3.96-2.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.4021.7723.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.1420.1420.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.961.081.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.961.081.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.261.371.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.12%6.12%6.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.17$19.11$23.74
Upside / Downside-13.07%9.53%36.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.6431.3231.0130.7030.3930.0930.99
Payout Ratio18.70%32.96%47.22%61.48%75.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.9210.3214.6418.8723.0227.0828.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.12%6.12%6.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9.639.739.83
Year 2 PV (M)12.7413.0013.27
Year 3 PV (M)15.3215.7916.28
Year 4 PV (M)17.4318.1518.90
Year 5 PV (M)19.1320.1221.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)648.71682.49717.67
Equity Value (M)722.96759.29797.09
Shares Outstanding (M)20.1420.1420.14
Fair Value$35.90$37.70$39.58
Upside / Downside105.73%116.07%126.83%

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