Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ultimate Games S.A. (ULG.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.50 - $95.61$38.92
Multi-Stage$68.76 - $75.94$72.28
Blended Fair Value$55.60
Current Price$11.00
Upside405.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.39%0.00%0.500.501.512.020.400.350.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-66.67%-25.00%400.00%14.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.51%4.33%10.60%8.88%1.39%2.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.820.520.31
Cash Retained (M)1.511.511.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.82-0.52-0.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.680.991.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.195.195.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.190.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.190.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate0.77%0.77%0.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$22.50$38.92$95.61
Upside / Downside104.55%253.79%769.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.124.084.044.003.963.924.04
Payout Ratio63.41%68.73%74.05%79.36%84.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.622.812.993.183.353.533.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.77%0.77%0.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2.762.782.81
Year 2 PV (M)2.892.953.01
Year 3 PV (M)3.013.103.20
Year 4 PV (M)3.123.253.39
Year 5 PV (M)3.233.403.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)341.82359.62378.15
Equity Value (M)356.83375.11394.13
Shares Outstanding (M)5.195.195.19
Fair Value$68.76$72.28$75.94
Upside / Downside525.06%557.08%590.41%

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