Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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United Insurance Holdings Corp. (UIHC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.05 - $103.92$85.53
Multi-Stage$118.81 - $130.80$124.69
Blended Fair Value$105.11
Current Price$7.70
Upside1,265.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.58%21.87%0.490.000.050.210.210.210.210.180.100.09
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-74.99%0.36%0.32%0.12%14.20%80.76%15.62%28.96%
Dividend Yield--6.31%0.00%1.85%6.30%2.88%2.24%1.26%0.95%0.63%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)402.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)377.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.4250.2630.16
Cash Retained (M)377.98377.98377.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.42-50.26-30.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)297.57327.72347.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.6249.6249.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.006.607.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.006.607.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.487.097.50
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate-1.43%-0.43%0.57%
Fair Value$69.05$85.53$103.92
Upside / Downside796.75%1,010.80%1,249.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)402.09400.36398.64396.94395.23393.54405.35
Payout Ratio5.99%22.80%39.60%56.40%73.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.1091.26157.85223.86289.31354.19374.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate-1.43%-0.43%0.57%
Year 1 PV (M)83.7984.6485.49
Year 2 PV (M)133.06135.77138.51
Year 3 PV (M)173.25178.57184.01
Year 4 PV (M)205.56214.03222.76
Year 5 PV (M)231.05243.01255.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,068.825,331.215,604.35
Equity Value (M)5,895.536,187.236,490.58
Shares Outstanding (M)49.6249.6249.62
Fair Value$118.81$124.69$130.80
Upside / Downside1,443.02%1,519.37%1,598.76%

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