DDM Analysis: U96.SI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.92 - $8.19	$7.06
Multi-Stage	$14.49 - $16.01	$15.23
Blended Fair Value	$11.15
Current Price	$6.85
Upside	62.76%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	28.63%	-4.43%	0.14	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.09	0.12	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	8.23%	84.80%	16.82%	98.15%	-23.94%	0.00%	-57.49%	-23.16%	-29.95%	-21.09%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.51%	2.39%	2.05%	2.96%	1.75%	3.42%	3.09%	5.96%	8.41%	11.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,959.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	569.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,390.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	391.80	244.88	146.93
Cash Retained (M)	1,390.00	1,390.00	1,390.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-391.80	-244.88	-146.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	998.20	1,145.13	1,243.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,807.15	1,807.15	1,807.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.63	0.69
LTM Dividend per Share	0.31	0.31	0.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.63	0.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.87	0.95	1.00
WACC / Discount Rate	7.27%	7.27%	7.27%
Growth Rate	-6.43%	-5.43%	-4.43%
Fair Value	$5.92	$7.06	$8.19
Upside / Downside	-13.52%	3.12%	19.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,959.00	1,852.71	1,752.19	1,657.12	1,567.21	1,482.18	1,526.64
Payout Ratio	29.05%	41.24%	53.43%	65.62%	77.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	569.00	763.99	936.15	1,087.37	1,219.43	1,333.96	1,412.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.27%	7.27%	7.27%
Growth Rate	-6.43%	-5.43%	-4.43%
Year 1 PV (M)	704.66	712.19	719.72
Year 2 PV (M)	796.39	813.51	830.80
Year 3 PV (M)	853.21	880.85	909.09
Year 4 PV (M)	882.52	920.86	960.43
Year 5 PV (M)	890.44	939.04	989.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22,058.84	23,262.99	24,519.15
Equity Value (M)	26,186.06	27,529.43	28,928.94
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,807.15	1,807.15	1,807.15
Fair Value	$14.49	$15.23	$16.01
Upside / Downside	111.54%	122.39%	133.69%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Miscellaneous

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sembcorp Industries Ltd (U96.SI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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