Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Thoresen Thai Agencies Public Company Limited (TTA-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.01 - $43.92$30.56
Multi-Stage$16.43 - $17.94$17.17
Blended Fair Value$23.86
Current Price$4.74
Upside403.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.20%127.58%0.180.220.220.020.060.050.080.050.050.21
YoY Growth---18.18%0.00%999.97%-66.67%20.00%-33.34%50.01%0.00%-75.43%421,289.77%
Dividend Yield--4.51%3.49%2.94%0.22%0.49%2.69%1.50%0.65%0.53%2.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,303.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)400.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,902.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)460.64287.90172.74
Cash Retained (M)1,902.351,902.351,902.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-460.64-287.90-172.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,441.701,614.441,729.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,808.521,808.521,808.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.800.890.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.800.890.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.111.18
WACC / Discount Rate10.38%10.38%10.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.01$30.56$43.92
Upside / Downside364.35%544.71%826.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,303.222,452.932,612.372,782.172,963.013,155.613,250.28
Payout Ratio17.40%31.92%46.44%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)400.87783.071,213.261,696.072,236.512,840.053,006.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.38%10.38%10.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)702.75709.41716.07
Year 2 PV (M)977.13995.741,014.53
Year 3 PV (M)1,225.851,261.041,296.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,450.661,506.451,563.83
Year 5 PV (M)1,653.171,733.021,815.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,702.3624,847.2026,035.85
Equity Value (M)29,711.9331,052.8632,443.10
Shares Outstanding (M)1,808.521,808.521,808.52
Fair Value$16.43$17.17$17.94
Upside / Downside246.60%262.24%278.46%

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