Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. (TSLX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.82 - $405.75$168.15
Multi-Stage$46.45 - $50.68$48.52
Blended Fair Value$108.34
Current Price$22.86
Upside373.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.66%11.16%1.581.461.440.911.391.041.021.010.860.83
YoY Growth--8.38%1.46%57.36%-34.19%33.03%2.24%1.28%17.94%2.85%51.39%
Dividend Yield--7.07%6.90%7.86%3.93%6.61%7.50%5.07%5.65%4.19%5.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)191.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)163.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.3123.9414.37
Cash Retained (M)28.2328.2328.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.31-23.94-14.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.084.2913.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.8993.8993.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.110.050.15
LTM Dividend per Share1.741.741.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.110.050.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.631.791.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$80.82$168.15$405.75
Upside / Downside253.53%635.58%1,674.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)191.55204.00217.26231.38246.42262.44270.31
Payout Ratio85.26%86.21%87.16%88.10%89.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)163.32175.87189.36203.86219.44236.19250.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)161.86163.40164.93
Year 2 PV (M)160.40163.46166.54
Year 3 PV (M)158.94163.50168.15
Year 4 PV (M)157.47163.52169.75
Year 5 PV (M)155.99163.53171.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,566.153,738.403,917.24
Equity Value (M)4,360.814,555.804,757.96
Shares Outstanding (M)93.8993.8993.89
Fair Value$46.45$48.52$50.68
Upside / Downside103.18%112.27%121.69%

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