Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Compañía de Transporte de Energía Eléctrica en Alta Tensión Transener S.A. (TRAN.BA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,110.26 - $4,837.62$3,908.38
Multi-Stage$7,532.30 - $8,277.56$7,897.66
Blended Fair Value$5,903.02
Current Price$1,799.00
Upside228.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.0013.900.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)146,133.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)134,200.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,933.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29,226.6218,266.6410,959.98
Cash Retained (M)11,933.1211,933.1211,933.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-29,226.62-18,266.64-10,959.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17,293.51-6,333.52973.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)444.68444.68444.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share-38.89-14.242.19
LTM Dividend per Share301.79301.79301.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share-38.89-14.242.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend262.90287.55303.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,110.26$3,908.38$4,837.62
Upside / Downside72.89%117.25%168.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)146,133.12144,671.79143,225.07141,792.82140,374.89138,971.14143,140.27
Payout Ratio91.83%91.47%91.10%90.73%90.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)134,200.00132,327.32130,478.68128,653.77126,852.32125,074.03132,404.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)123,246.29124,503.90125,761.52
Year 2 PV (M)113,184.82115,506.50117,851.75
Year 3 PV (M)103,943.06107,157.57110,437.68
Year 4 PV (M)95,454.3499,410.48103,488.33
Year 5 PV (M)87,657.4392,221.9696,974.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,825,954.672,973,108.683,126,329.96
Equity Value (M)3,349,440.613,511,909.103,680,843.92
Shares Outstanding (M)444.68444.68444.68
Fair Value$7,532.30$7,897.66$8,277.56
Upside / Downside318.69%339.00%360.12%

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