Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

TowneBank (TOWN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67.52 - $278.86$116.01
Multi-Stage$42.74 - $46.68$44.67
Blended Fair Value$80.34
Current Price$34.57
Upside132.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.73%16.68%0.990.940.830.730.690.650.590.450.400.29
YoY Growth--5.09%13.75%13.49%5.84%5.81%10.06%30.27%12.75%38.92%37.06%
Dividend Yield--2.90%3.42%3.11%2.44%2.27%3.60%2.33%1.61%1.24%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)169.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)76.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.9321.2112.73
Cash Retained (M)92.9292.9292.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.93-21.21-12.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)58.9871.7180.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)75.7975.7975.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.780.951.06
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.780.951.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.962.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.30%8.30%8.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$67.52$116.01$278.86
Upside / Downside95.33%235.59%706.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)169.67180.70192.45204.95218.28232.46239.44
Payout Ratio45.24%54.19%63.14%72.09%81.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)76.7597.92121.51147.76176.91209.22221.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.30%8.30%8.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)89.5790.4291.27
Year 2 PV (M)101.67103.61105.56
Year 3 PV (M)113.08116.33119.64
Year 4 PV (M)123.84128.60133.50
Year 5 PV (M)133.97140.44147.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,676.702,805.982,940.22
Equity Value (M)3,238.833,385.383,537.34
Shares Outstanding (M)75.7975.7975.79
Fair Value$42.74$44.67$46.68
Upside / Downside23.62%29.22%35.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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