Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$175.52 - $373.37$249.44
Multi-Stage$128.60 - $140.43$134.41
Blended Fair Value$191.93
Current Price$50.55
Upside279.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%26.04%2.961.710.000.000.000.000.230.601.350.44
YoY Growth--72.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-61.06%-55.86%209.45%48.93%
Dividend Yield--7.73%2.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.00%6.70%8.22%1.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)323.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)254.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.7740.4824.29
Cash Retained (M)254.89254.89254.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.77-40.48-24.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)190.12214.41230.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.7334.7334.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.476.176.64
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.476.176.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.468.168.62
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$175.52$249.44$373.37
Upside / Downside247.23%393.46%638.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)323.84344.89367.30391.18416.60443.68456.99
Payout Ratio21.29%35.03%48.78%62.52%76.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.95120.83179.15244.55317.70399.32422.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)108.83109.86110.89
Year 2 PV (M)145.34148.11150.90
Year 3 PV (M)178.69183.82189.05
Year 4 PV (M)209.08217.12225.40
Year 5 PV (M)236.70248.14260.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,588.383,761.703,941.66
Equity Value (M)4,467.024,668.754,877.89
Shares Outstanding (M)34.7334.7334.73
Fair Value$128.60$134.41$140.43
Upside / Downside154.41%165.90%177.81%

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