Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tegma Gestão Logística S.A. (TGMA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TruckingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.22 - $189.44$122.05
Multi-Stage$63.91 - $69.62$66.71
Blended Fair Value$94.38
Current Price$34.72
Upside171.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.71%26.64%2.741.711.120.790.341.571.150.460.000.08
YoY Growth--59.69%52.53%42.74%131.00%-78.34%37.18%148.41%0.00%-100.00%-70.56%
Dividend Yield--8.14%6.20%6.16%4.71%1.81%7.61%4.23%1.90%0.00%1.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)275.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)179.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)95.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.1634.4820.69
Cash Retained (M)95.8995.8995.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.16-34.48-20.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.7261.4175.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.8165.8165.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.931.14
LTM Dividend per Share2.732.732.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.931.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.353.673.88
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$84.22$122.05$189.44
Upside / Downside142.58%251.54%445.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)275.81293.73312.82333.16354.81377.88389.21
Payout Ratio65.23%70.19%75.14%80.09%85.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)179.92206.16235.06266.84301.76340.09360.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)186.17187.93189.70
Year 2 PV (M)191.68195.33199.01
Year 3 PV (M)196.49202.13207.88
Year 4 PV (M)200.65208.37216.31
Year 5 PV (M)204.21214.07224.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,226.603,382.453,544.26
Equity Value (M)4,205.804,390.284,581.47
Shares Outstanding (M)65.8165.8165.81
Fair Value$63.91$66.71$69.62
Upside / Downside84.08%92.15%100.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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