DDM Analysis: TGKA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4,154.25 - $6,478.78	$5,226.04
Multi-Stage	$5,409.76 - $5,904.95	$5,652.79
Blended Fair Value	$5,439.42
Current Price	$5,650.00
Upside	-3.73%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.48%	15.24%	312.00	355.00	295.00	360.00	285.00	239.00	160.00	115.00	106.50	94.50
YoY Growth	-	-	-12.11%	20.34%	-18.06%	26.32%	19.25%	49.38%	39.13%	7.98%	12.70%	25.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.16%	5.24%	4.45%	5.12%	3.61%	4.60%	4.57%	4.51%	4.02%	3.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	385,135.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	275,548.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	109,587.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	77,027.00	48,141.88	28,885.13
Cash Retained (M)	109,587.00	109,587.00	109,587.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-77,027.00	-48,141.88	-28,885.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	32,560.00	61,445.13	80,701.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	918.49	918.49	918.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	35.45	66.90	87.86
LTM Dividend per Share	300.00	300.00	300.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	35.45	66.90	87.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend	335.45	366.90	387.86
WACC / Discount Rate	9.71%	9.71%	9.71%
Growth Rate	1.51%	2.51%	3.51%
Fair Value	$4,154.25	$5,226.04	$6,478.78
Upside / Downside	-26.47%	-7.50%	14.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	385,135.00	394,808.61	404,725.20	414,890.87	425,311.87	435,994.62	449,074.46
Payout Ratio	71.55%	75.24%	78.93%	82.62%	86.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	275,548.00	297,040.80	319,439.45	342,775.90	367,083.12	392,395.16	415,393.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.71%	9.71%	9.71%
Growth Rate	1.51%	2.51%	3.51%
Year 1 PV (M)	268,113.00	270,754.20	273,395.40
Year 2 PV (M)	260,250.80	265,403.56	270,606.83
Year 3 PV (M)	252,066.75	259,589.76	267,260.99
Year 4 PV (M)	243,652.83	253,396.61	263,429.74
Year 5 PV (M)	235,089.08	246,898.88	259,178.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,709,652.26	3,896,008.22	4,089,779.40
Equity Value (M)	4,968,824.71	5,192,051.23	5,423,650.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	918.49	918.49	918.49
Fair Value	$5,409.76	$5,652.79	$5,904.95
Upside / Downside	-4.25%	0.05%	4.51%

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PT Tigaraksa Satria Tbk (TGKA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener