Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Synnex (Thailand) Public Company Limited (SYNEX-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.13 - $101.07$41.60
Multi-Stage$25.84 - $28.34$27.07
Blended Fair Value$34.33
Current Price$10.90
Upside214.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.75%10.19%0.360.620.700.580.460.460.500.400.290.19
YoY Growth---41.95%-11.43%20.69%26.09%0.20%-8.18%25.00%37.50%52.38%40.00%
Dividend Yield--3.31%5.26%4.76%2.17%1.92%11.82%4.21%3.34%3.18%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)694.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)372.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)321.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.8486.7752.06
Cash Retained (M)321.41321.41321.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.84-86.77-52.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)182.57234.64269.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)852.95852.95852.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Fair Value$24.13$41.60$101.07
Upside / Downside121.41%281.62%827.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)694.20723.11753.23784.61817.29851.34876.88
Payout Ratio53.70%60.96%68.22%75.48%82.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)372.78440.81513.86592.22676.23766.20811.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.95%5.95%5.95%
Growth Rate3.17%4.17%5.17%
Year 1 PV (M)412.07416.06420.05
Year 2 PV (M)449.03457.77466.60
Year 3 PV (M)483.76497.96512.44
Year 4 PV (M)516.36536.67557.58
Year 5 PV (M)546.91573.94602.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,634.0620,604.2621,612.45
Equity Value (M)22,042.1823,086.6724,171.15
Shares Outstanding (M)852.95852.95852.95
Fair Value$25.84$27.07$28.34
Upside / Downside137.09%148.32%159.99%

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