Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Symphony Communication Public Company Limited (SYMC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.57 - $40.11$17.81
Multi-Stage$9.92 - $10.87$10.38
Blended Fair Value$14.10
Current Price$3.96
Upside256.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS37.18%-9.63%0.140.090.070.050.020.030.000.000.010.27
YoY Growth--56.01%24.67%36.38%161.91%-30.07%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-97.62%-32.72%
Dividend Yield--2.95%1.08%1.28%0.76%0.34%1.74%0.00%0.00%0.05%3.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)163.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.6020.3812.23
Cash Retained (M)94.1294.1294.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.60-20.38-12.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)61.5273.7481.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)440.67440.67440.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate3.62%4.62%5.62%
Fair Value$10.57$17.81$40.11
Upside / Downside166.94%349.84%912.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)163.02170.55178.43186.68195.30204.33210.46
Payout Ratio42.26%51.81%61.36%70.90%80.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.8988.36109.48132.36157.13183.90194.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate3.62%4.62%5.62%
Year 1 PV (M)82.1682.9583.74
Year 2 PV (M)94.6596.4898.34
Year 3 PV (M)106.40109.51112.68
Year 4 PV (M)117.44122.04126.77
Year 5 PV (M)127.80134.08140.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,840.964,029.914,226.22
Equity Value (M)4,369.404,574.974,788.37
Shares Outstanding (M)440.67440.67440.67
Fair Value$9.92$10.38$10.87
Upside / Downside150.39%162.17%174.40%

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