Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sydbank A/S (SYDB.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,281.99 - $4,847.11$2,158.36
Multi-Stage$838.23 - $914.66$875.76
Blended Fair Value$1,517.06
Current Price$510.50
Upside197.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.57%82.95%32.6718.6513.8311.360.1411.3414.8814.3015.6210.29
YoY Growth--75.18%34.88%21.75%8,242.86%-98.80%-23.79%4.08%-8.47%51.80%13,125.00%
Dividend Yield--7.57%5.18%4.48%4.92%0.08%11.80%10.50%6.42%6.46%5.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,269.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,391.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)878.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)453.80283.63170.18
Cash Retained (M)878.00878.00878.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-453.80-283.63-170.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)424.20594.38707.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.4251.4251.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.2511.5613.77
LTM Dividend per Share27.0527.0527.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.2511.5613.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend35.3038.6140.82
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,281.99$2,158.36$4,847.11
Upside / Downside151.12%322.79%849.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,269.002,416.492,573.562,740.842,918.993,108.733,201.99
Payout Ratio61.30%67.04%72.78%78.52%84.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,391.001,620.101,873.102,152.162,459.572,797.852,961.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,480.451,494.481,508.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,564.111,593.901,623.97
Year 3 PV (M)1,642.221,689.361,737.39
Year 4 PV (M)1,715.021,780.971,848.81
Year 5 PV (M)1,782.731,868.841,958.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,914.1436,600.5038,351.41
Equity Value (M)43,098.6645,028.0547,028.34
Shares Outstanding (M)51.4251.4251.42
Fair Value$838.23$875.76$914.66
Upside / Downside64.20%71.55%79.17%

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