Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. (SWX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$308.25 - $1,277.59$788.80
Multi-Stage$153.41 - $167.78$160.47
Blended Fair Value$474.63
Current Price$74.39
Upside538.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.89%10.37%2.462.422.221.911.741.611.391.281.151.03
YoY Growth--1.83%8.73%16.16%10.13%8.07%15.85%8.80%10.58%12.21%12.03%
Dividend Yield--3.43%3.20%3.56%2.44%2.53%2.31%1.68%1.89%1.39%1.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)463.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)178.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)285.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)92.7857.9934.79
Cash Retained (M)285.58285.58285.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-92.78-57.99-34.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)192.80227.59250.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.2272.2272.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.673.153.47
LTM Dividend per Share2.472.472.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.673.153.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.145.625.94
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$308.25$788.80$1,277.59
Upside / Downside314.37%960.35%1,617.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)463.92494.07526.19560.39596.82635.61654.68
Payout Ratio38.44%48.75%59.06%69.38%79.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)178.34240.88310.79388.78475.59572.05605.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.26%7.26%7.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)222.47224.58226.68
Year 2 PV (M)265.10270.15275.25
Year 3 PV (M)306.28315.07324.03
Year 4 PV (M)346.03359.34373.02
Year 5 PV (M)384.40402.96422.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,554.6510,016.1510,495.30
Equity Value (M)11,078.9211,588.2412,116.52
Shares Outstanding (M)72.2272.2272.22
Fair Value$153.41$160.47$167.78
Upside / Downside106.23%115.71%125.54%

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