DDM Analysis: STZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$101.76 - $188.76	$137.43
Multi-Stage	$131.46 - $143.93	$137.58
Blended Fair Value	$137.51
Current Price	$151.26
Upside	-9.09%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	5.15%	0.00%	4.09	3.65	3.29	3.20	3.21	3.18	3.12	2.24	1.76	1.35
YoY Growth	-	-	11.93%	11.25%	2.57%	-0.35%	1.02%	2.06%	39.39%	26.98%	30.42%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.29%	1.46%	1.35%	1.30%	1.35%	1.84%	1.77%	1.00%	0.96%	0.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,222.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	724.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)	498.40

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	244.54	152.84	91.70
Cash Retained (M)	498.40	498.40	498.40
(-) Cash Required (M)	-244.54	-152.84	-91.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	253.86	345.56	406.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	178.90	178.90	178.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.42	1.93	2.27
LTM Dividend per Share	4.05	4.05	4.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.42	1.93	2.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.47	5.98	6.32
WACC / Discount Rate	7.60%	7.60%	7.60%
Growth Rate	2.12%	3.12%	4.12%
Fair Value	$101.76	$137.43	$188.76
Upside / Downside	-32.73%	-9.14%	24.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,222.70	1,260.80	1,300.09	1,340.60	1,382.37	1,425.45	1,468.21
Payout Ratio	59.24%	65.39%	71.54%	77.70%	83.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	724.30	824.44	930.12	1,041.58	1,159.08	1,282.90	1,358.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.60%	7.60%	7.60%
Growth Rate	2.12%	3.12%	4.12%
Year 1 PV (M)	758.76	766.19	773.62
Year 2 PV (M)	787.81	803.32	818.98
Year 3 PV (M)	811.94	836.02	860.58
Year 4 PV (M)	831.55	864.60	898.63
Year 5 PV (M)	847.05	889.35	933.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	19,480.48	20,453.19	21,464.37
Equity Value (M)	23,517.59	24,612.66	25,749.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	178.90	178.90	178.90
Fair Value	$131.46	$137.58	$143.93
Upside / Downside	-13.09%	-9.04%	-4.84%

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Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener