DDM Analysis: SONIC.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.32 - $12.29	$6.74
Multi-Stage	$2.93 - $3.20	$3.06
Blended Fair Value	$4.90
Current Price	$1.48
Upside	231.09%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	17.13%	0.05	0.10	0.10	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.05	0.27	0.01	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	-49.73%	5.89%	160.83%	10.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-82.03%	1,732.61%	-14.13%	58.64%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.38%	6.56%	4.20%	0.97%	1.12%	0.00%	3.72%	13.89%	0.76%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	138.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)	93.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	27.78	17.36	10.42
Cash Retained (M)	93.05	93.05	93.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-27.78	-17.36	-10.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)	65.28	75.69	82.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	796.13	796.13	796.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.10	0.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.08	0.10	0.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.15	0.16
WACC / Discount Rate	8.91%	8.91%	8.91%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$4.32	$6.74	$12.29
Upside / Downside	191.64%	355.56%	730.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	138.88	147.91	157.52	167.76	178.66	190.28	195.99
Payout Ratio	33.00%	44.40%	55.80%	67.20%	78.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45.83	65.67	87.89	112.73	140.43	171.25	181.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.91%	8.91%	8.91%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	59.73	60.29	60.86
Year 2 PV (M)	72.71	74.10	75.50
Year 3 PV (M)	84.83	87.26	89.75
Year 4 PV (M)	96.11	99.81	103.61
Year 5 PV (M)	106.61	111.76	117.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,909.22	2,001.44	2,097.18
Equity Value (M)	2,329.21	2,434.66	2,544.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	796.13	796.13	796.13
Fair Value	$2.93	$3.06	$3.20
Upside / Downside	97.68%	106.63%	115.91%

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Sonic Interfreight Public Company Limited (SONIC.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener