DDM Analysis: SON

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$52.39 - $78.28	$64.69
Multi-Stage	$90.71 - $99.67	$95.10
Blended Fair Value	$79.90
Current Price	$42.77
Upside	86.81%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.63%	4.68%	2.05	1.99	1.88	1.80	1.74	1.71	1.62	1.54	1.47	1.39
YoY Growth	-	-	3.08%	5.52%	4.74%	3.47%	1.39%	5.46%	5.42%	4.63%	6.04%	7.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.33%	3.45%	3.10%	2.87%	2.68%	3.65%	2.61%	3.26%	2.81%	2.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	627.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	206.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)	420.95

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	125.56	78.48	47.09
Cash Retained (M)	420.95	420.95	420.95
(-) Cash Required (M)	-125.56	-78.48	-47.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)	295.39	342.47	373.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	99.43	99.43	99.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.97	3.44	3.76
LTM Dividend per Share	2.08	2.08	2.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.97	3.44	3.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.05	5.52	5.84
WACC / Discount Rate	8.06%	8.06%	8.06%
Growth Rate	-1.44%	-0.44%	0.56%
Fair Value	$52.39	$64.69	$78.28
Upside / Downside	22.49%	51.25%	83.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	627.81	625.05	622.30	619.57	616.84	614.13	632.56
Payout Ratio	32.95%	44.36%	55.77%	67.18%	78.59%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	206.86	277.27	347.06	416.22	484.78	552.72	585.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.06%	8.06%	8.06%
Growth Rate	-1.44%	-0.44%	0.56%
Year 1 PV (M)	254.01	256.58	259.16
Year 2 PV (M)	291.26	297.20	303.20
Year 3 PV (M)	320.00	329.84	339.87
Year 4 PV (M)	341.43	355.50	369.99
Year 5 PV (M)	356.61	375.08	394.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,456.33	7,842.35	8,244.19
Equity Value (M)	9,019.63	9,456.54	9,910.71
Shares Outstanding (M)	99.43	99.43	99.43
Fair Value	$90.71	$95.10	$99.67
Upside / Downside	112.09%	122.36%	133.04%

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Sonoco Products Company (SON)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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