Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$333.63 - $1,838.84$643.45
Multi-Stage$189.49 - $207.31$198.24
Blended Fair Value$420.84
Current Price$148.07
Upside184.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.51%39.56%1.651.561.370.600.250.920.710.500.400.27
YoY Growth--5.91%13.42%128.65%141.90%-72.87%28.28%42.82%23.99%49.28%358.51%
Dividend Yield--1.20%1.50%1.42%0.59%0.26%1.46%1.45%0.81%0.69%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)774.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)629.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)154.8196.7658.05
Cash Retained (M)629.61629.61629.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-154.81-96.76-58.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)474.80532.85571.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.7283.7283.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.676.376.83
LTM Dividend per Share1.731.731.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.676.376.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.408.098.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$333.63$643.45$1,838.84
Upside / Downside125.32%334.56%1,141.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)774.06824.37877.95935.02995.801,060.521,092.34
Payout Ratio18.66%32.93%47.20%61.46%75.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.44271.45414.36574.70754.14954.471,010.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)249.36251.72254.08
Year 2 PV (M)349.65356.31363.03
Year 3 PV (M)445.48458.26471.29
Year 4 PV (M)536.98557.63578.87
Year 5 PV (M)624.30654.46685.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,657.4414,317.1015,002.00
Equity Value (M)15,863.2016,595.4817,355.05
Shares Outstanding (M)83.7283.7283.72
Fair Value$189.49$198.24$207.31
Upside / Downside27.97%33.88%40.01%

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