Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SLM Corporation (SLM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.40 - $56.71$44.30
Multi-Stage$37.33 - $40.86$39.06
Blended Fair Value$41.68
Current Price$27.68
Upside50.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.17%0.00%0.470.480.530.290.220.240.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---2.04%-10.38%86.83%30.44%-9.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.59%2.24%4.30%1.55%1.22%3.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)623.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)514.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.6477.9046.74
Cash Retained (M)514.36514.36514.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.64-77.90-46.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)389.71436.46467.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)211.91211.91211.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.842.062.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.842.062.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.352.572.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.67%9.67%9.67%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Fair Value$34.40$44.30$56.71
Upside / Downside24.28%60.05%104.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)623.22645.97669.55693.99719.33745.59767.96
Payout Ratio17.47%31.97%46.48%60.99%75.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108.86206.54311.21423.24543.05671.03710.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.67%9.67%9.67%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Year 1 PV (M)186.51188.33190.14
Year 2 PV (M)253.77258.74263.76
Year 3 PV (M)311.66320.86330.23
Year 4 PV (M)361.10375.37390.07
Year 5 PV (M)402.93422.94443.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,393.716,711.267,041.31
Equity Value (M)7,909.678,277.508,659.26
Shares Outstanding (M)211.91211.91211.91
Fair Value$37.33$39.06$40.86
Upside / Downside34.85%41.12%47.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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