Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SBO AG (SLL.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.27 - $38.10$29.88
Multi-Stage$35.73 - $39.09$37.38
Blended Fair Value$33.63
Current Price$26.70
Upside25.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.59%2.78%2.002.000.750.001.201.010.510.000.511.52
YoY Growth--0.19%166.67%0.00%-100.00%18.21%99.94%0.00%-100.00%-66.65%0.04%
Dividend Yield--5.64%4.49%1.26%0.00%3.13%3.37%0.68%0.00%0.78%2.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)27.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.504.062.44
Cash Retained (M)4.944.944.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.50-4.06-2.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.570.872.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.7615.7615.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.060.16
LTM Dividend per Share1.751.751.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.060.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.651.811.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate0.78%1.78%2.78%
Fair Value$23.27$29.88$38.10
Upside / Downside-12.85%11.92%42.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.5233.0933.6834.2834.8935.5136.58
Payout Ratio84.82%85.86%86.89%87.93%88.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)27.5828.4129.2730.1431.0431.9633.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate0.78%1.78%2.78%
Year 1 PV (M)26.0726.3326.59
Year 2 PV (M)24.6325.1325.62
Year 3 PV (M)23.2823.9824.69
Year 4 PV (M)21.9922.8823.79
Year 5 PV (M)20.7721.8322.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)446.38468.97492.46
Equity Value (M)563.12589.10616.07
Shares Outstanding (M)15.7615.7615.76
Fair Value$35.73$37.38$39.09
Upside / Downside33.83%40.00%46.41%

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