Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sanlorenzo S.p.A. (SL.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - Recreational VehiclesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.98 - $299.63$140.66
Multi-Stage$54.77 - $59.84$57.26
Blended Fair Value$98.96
Current Price$29.85
Upside231.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS55.73%0.00%0.990.650.590.290.000.110.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth--51.47%11.28%99.87%0.00%-100.00%1,166.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.44%1.59%1.47%0.80%0.00%1.06%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.2313.277.96
Cash Retained (M)70.9670.9670.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.23-13.27-7.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.7357.6963.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.1035.1035.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.421.641.79
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.421.641.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.422.652.80
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$84.98$140.66$299.63
Upside / Downside184.71%371.23%903.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.17113.07120.42128.24136.58145.46149.82
Payout Ratio33.16%44.53%55.90%67.26%78.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.2150.3567.3186.26107.40130.91138.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)45.9746.4046.84
Year 2 PV (M)56.1057.1758.25
Year 3 PV (M)65.6467.5369.45
Year 4 PV (M)74.6177.4880.43
Year 5 PV (M)83.0487.0591.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,597.161,674.301,754.40
Equity Value (M)1,922.532,009.942,100.58
Shares Outstanding (M)35.1035.1035.10
Fair Value$54.77$57.26$59.84
Upside / Downside83.48%91.83%100.48%

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