DDM Analysis: SKA-B.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$111.14 - $161.76	$135.65
Multi-Stage	$184.33 - $202.02	$193.01
Blended Fair Value	$164.33
Current Price	$243.90
Upside	-32.63%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-1.72%	-1.28%	5.44	7.42	9.93	9.43	3.23	5.93	8.12	8.14	7.41	6.68
YoY Growth	-	-	-26.74%	-25.29%	5.28%	192.31%	-45.57%	-27.01%	-0.21%	9.92%	10.81%	8.06%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.46%	3.96%	6.27%	4.46%	1.47%	3.92%	4.68%	4.77%	3.51%	3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,188.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,453.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,735.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,237.60	773.50	464.10
Cash Retained (M)	2,735.00	2,735.00	2,735.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,237.60	-773.50	-464.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,497.40	1,961.50	2,270.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	415.17	415.17	415.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.61	4.72	5.47
LTM Dividend per Share	8.32	8.32	8.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.61	4.72	5.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend	11.92	13.04	13.79
WACC / Discount Rate	8.98%	8.98%	8.98%
Growth Rate	-1.58%	-0.58%	0.42%
Fair Value	$111.14	$135.65	$161.76
Upside / Downside	-54.43%	-44.38%	-33.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,188.00	6,151.93	6,116.07	6,080.42	6,044.98	6,009.74	6,190.04
Payout Ratio	55.80%	62.64%	69.48%	76.32%	83.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,453.00	3,853.65	4,249.50	4,640.62	5,027.02	5,408.77	5,725.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.98%	8.98%	8.98%
Growth Rate	-1.58%	-0.58%	0.42%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,500.68	3,536.25	3,571.82
Year 2 PV (M)	3,506.71	3,578.33	3,650.68
Year 3 PV (M)	3,478.71	3,585.83	3,695.12
Year 4 PV (M)	3,423.21	3,564.48	3,710.07
Year 5 PV (M)	3,345.81	3,519.29	3,699.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)	59,274.15	62,347.35	65,546.71
Equity Value (M)	76,529.27	80,131.52	83,874.28
Shares Outstanding (M)	415.17	415.17	415.17
Fair Value	$184.33	$193.01	$202.02
Upside / Downside	-24.42%	-20.87%	-17.17%

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Skanska AB (publ) (SKA-B.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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