DDM Analysis: SJW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$191.16 - $630.42	$590.80
Multi-Stage	$83.88 - $91.72	$87.73
Blended Fair Value	$339.26
Current Price	$51.84
Upside	554.44%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.84%	13.13%	1.51	1.39	1.26	1.16	1.06	0.99	0.67	0.62	0.48	0.46
YoY Growth	-	-	8.82%	9.92%	8.58%	9.94%	6.96%	47.93%	8.17%	28.82%	4.24%	4.66%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.77%	2.49%	1.66%	1.67%	1.68%	1.71%	1.10%	1.17%	1.00%	1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	109.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	56.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)	52.37

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	21.86	13.66	8.20
Cash Retained (M)	52.37	52.37	52.37
(-) Cash Required (M)	-21.86	-13.66	-8.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	30.51	38.71	44.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	34.47	34.47	34.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.89	1.12	1.28
LTM Dividend per Share	1.65	1.65	1.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.89	1.12	1.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.54	2.77	2.93
WACC / Discount Rate	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$191.16	$590.80	$630.42
Upside / Downside	268.74%	1,039.66%	1,116.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	109.28	116.38	123.95	132.00	140.58	149.72	154.21
Payout Ratio	52.08%	59.66%	67.25%	74.83%	82.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	56.91	69.44	83.35	98.78	115.86	134.75	142.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	64.34	64.95	65.56
Year 2 PV (M)	71.57	72.94	74.31
Year 3 PV (M)	78.60	80.86	83.16
Year 4 PV (M)	85.44	88.72	92.10
Year 5 PV (M)	92.08	96.53	101.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,499.62	2,620.35	2,745.70
Equity Value (M)	2,891.65	3,024.35	3,161.98
Shares Outstanding (M)	34.47	34.47	34.47
Fair Value	$83.88	$87.73	$91.72
Upside / Downside	61.81%	69.23%	76.93%

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SJW Group (SJW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener