Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Siili Solutions Oyj (SIILI.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.92 - $128.21$79.10
Multi-Stage$18.15 - $19.87$18.99
Blended Fair Value$49.05
Current Price$6.42
Upside663.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.55%11.47%0.260.200.160.240.140.200.340.260.170.11
YoY Growth--30.02%28.32%-35.51%73.91%-30.00%-41.03%31.50%47.23%59.32%24.30%
Dividend Yield--4.59%2.08%0.97%1.65%1.05%2.18%4.21%2.34%2.10%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.050.660.39
Cash Retained (M)3.163.163.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.05-0.66-0.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.102.502.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.118.118.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.310.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.310.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate6.56%6.56%6.56%
Growth Rate4.80%5.80%6.80%
Fair Value$30.92$79.10$128.21
Upside / Downside381.64%1,132.09%1,897.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.265.575.896.236.596.987.19
Payout Ratio40.06%50.05%60.04%70.03%80.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.112.793.544.375.286.286.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.56%6.56%6.56%
Growth Rate4.80%5.80%6.80%
Year 1 PV (M)2.592.622.64
Year 2 PV (M)3.063.123.17
Year 3 PV (M)3.513.613.71
Year 4 PV (M)3.944.094.25
Year 5 PV (M)4.364.574.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)129.77136.08142.63
Equity Value (M)147.22154.08161.20
Shares Outstanding (M)8.118.118.11
Fair Value$18.15$18.99$19.87
Upside / Downside182.70%195.87%209.54%

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