Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Sigma Energy Compressindo Tbk (SICO.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.84 - $146.87$122.43
Multi-Stage$181.45 - $199.29$190.20
Blended Fair Value$156.31
Current Price$112.00
Upside39.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%5.004.002.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--25.04%99.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.00%4.08%1.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,705.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,460.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,244.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,341.021,463.13877.88
Cash Retained (M)6,244.696,244.696,244.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,341.02-1,463.13-877.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,903.674,781.555,366.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)910.06910.06910.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.295.255.90
LTM Dividend per Share6.006.006.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.295.255.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.2911.2511.90
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$99.84$122.43$146.87
Upside / Downside-10.86%9.31%31.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,705.0811,588.0311,472.1511,357.4211,243.8511,131.4111,465.35
Payout Ratio46.65%55.32%63.99%72.66%81.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,460.396,410.477,341.018,252.299,144.6210,018.2710,605.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,870.225,930.125,990.02
Year 2 PV (M)6,155.796,282.066,409.61
Year 3 PV (M)6,336.756,532.716,732.68
Year 4 PV (M)6,430.156,696.656,971.35
Year 5 PV (M)6,450.786,786.687,136.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)133,890.60140,862.59148,122.05
Equity Value (M)165,134.27173,090.81181,362.14
Shares Outstanding (M)910.06910.06910.06
Fair Value$181.45$190.20$199.29
Upside / Downside62.01%69.82%77.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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