Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Steadfast Group Limited (SDF.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.03 - $103.41$96.91
Multi-Stage$15.77 - $17.26$16.50
Blended Fair Value$56.71
Current Price$6.01
Upside843.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS22.11%27.26%0.230.160.120.100.060.080.070.060.050.04
YoY Growth--48.01%27.93%21.78%76.02%-33.11%16.72%14.42%21.50%46.57%72.53%
Dividend Yield--3.82%2.53%2.02%1.99%1.29%2.52%2.13%2.26%1.96%1.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)562.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)282.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)280.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.5870.3642.22
Cash Retained (M)280.30280.30280.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.58-70.36-42.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.72209.94238.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,082.501,082.501,082.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.450.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.41%6.41%6.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$48.03$96.91$103.41
Upside / Downside699.16%1,512.56%1,620.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)562.90599.49638.46679.95724.15771.22794.36
Payout Ratio50.20%58.16%66.12%74.08%82.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)282.60348.68422.16503.72594.10694.10734.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.41%6.41%6.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)324.59327.67330.74
Year 2 PV (M)365.84372.81379.84
Year 3 PV (M)406.36418.02429.91
Year 4 PV (M)446.15463.31480.95
Year 5 PV (M)485.23508.67533.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,046.9915,773.7616,528.35
Equity Value (M)17,075.1517,864.2318,682.80
Shares Outstanding (M)1,082.501,082.501,082.50
Fair Value$15.77$16.50$17.26
Upside / Downside162.46%174.59%187.17%

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