Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Service Corporation International (SCI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.52 - $199.76$120.56
Multi-Stage$74.66 - $81.75$78.14
Blended Fair Value$99.35
Current Price$83.22
Upside19.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.81%9.32%1.201.161.111.020.950.910.860.750.680.61
YoY Growth--3.75%4.97%8.93%6.93%4.56%6.10%13.88%10.50%12.39%22.45%
Dividend Yield--1.50%1.58%1.61%1.54%1.86%2.32%2.11%1.99%2.20%2.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)534.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)179.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)355.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106.9166.8240.09
Cash Retained (M)355.12355.12355.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-106.91-66.82-40.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)248.21288.30315.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)144.71144.71144.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.721.992.18
LTM Dividend per Share1.241.241.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.721.992.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.963.233.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.62%7.62%7.62%
Growth Rate3.81%4.81%5.81%
Fair Value$80.52$120.56$199.76
Upside / Downside-3.24%44.87%140.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)534.57560.29587.24615.50645.11676.14696.42
Payout Ratio33.57%44.85%56.14%67.43%78.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)179.45251.32329.69415.01507.79608.53644.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.62%7.62%7.62%
Growth Rate3.81%4.81%5.81%
Year 1 PV (M)231.29233.52235.75
Year 2 PV (M)279.24284.65290.10
Year 3 PV (M)323.51332.95342.57
Year 4 PV (M)364.29378.53393.18
Year 5 PV (M)401.77421.50442.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,204.519,656.4610,126.00
Equity Value (M)10,804.6111,307.6011,829.59
Shares Outstanding (M)144.71144.71144.71
Fair Value$74.66$78.14$81.75
Upside / Downside-10.28%-6.10%-1.77%

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