Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida (SBCF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.08 - $164.07$77.70
Multi-Stage$30.74 - $33.57$32.13
Blended Fair Value$54.91
Current Price$30.43
Upside80.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%119.27%0.720.710.480.260.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.75%46.92%83.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%54.17%
Dividend Yield--2.79%2.85%2.03%0.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)62.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)82.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9418.0910.85
Cash Retained (M)82.3582.3582.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.94-18.09-10.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.4164.2671.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)85.8485.8485.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.750.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.730.730.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.750.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.481.56
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.08$77.70$164.07
Upside / Downside54.73%155.35%439.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.70154.11164.13174.79186.16198.26204.20
Payout Ratio43.09%52.47%61.86%71.24%80.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)62.3680.87101.52124.52150.08178.43188.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)73.8274.5275.22
Year 2 PV (M)84.5986.2087.83
Year 3 PV (M)94.7197.43100.20
Year 4 PV (M)104.20108.20112.33
Year 5 PV (M)113.08118.55124.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,168.032,272.752,381.48
Equity Value (M)2,638.432,757.652,881.26
Shares Outstanding (M)85.8485.8485.84
Fair Value$30.74$32.13$33.57
Upside / Downside1.01%5.57%10.30%

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