Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Samse S.A. (SAMS.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$482.50 - $1,607.26$787.17
Multi-Stage$513.46 - $562.74$537.64
Blended Fair Value$662.40
Current Price$155.00
Upside327.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.09%17.29%10.1616.2016.198.0716.152.532.522.222.122.12
YoY Growth---37.30%0.05%100.54%-50.01%539.28%0.06%13.61%4.79%0.00%2.85%
Dividend Yield--7.05%8.02%8.63%3.92%10.69%1.49%1.93%1.30%1.45%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.367.724.63
Cash Retained (M)27.0827.0827.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.36-7.72-4.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.7319.3622.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.423.423.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.315.676.57
LTM Dividend per Share10.1610.1610.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.315.676.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.4715.8316.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate3.21%4.21%5.21%
Fair Value$482.50$787.17$1,607.26
Upside / Downside211.29%407.85%936.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61.7864.3867.0969.9172.8575.9178.19
Payout Ratio56.16%62.93%69.70%76.47%83.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.7040.5146.7653.4660.6368.3272.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate3.21%4.21%5.21%
Year 1 PV (M)37.7538.1138.48
Year 2 PV (M)40.5941.3842.18
Year 3 PV (M)43.2344.5045.80
Year 4 PV (M)45.6947.4949.34
Year 5 PV (M)47.9750.3452.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,538.541,614.531,693.51
Equity Value (M)1,753.761,836.351,922.09
Shares Outstanding (M)3.423.423.42
Fair Value$513.46$537.64$562.74
Upside / Downside231.26%246.86%263.06%

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