Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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S 11 Group Public Company Limited (S11.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.32 - $8.24$6.67
Multi-Stage$11.94 - $13.16$12.53
Blended Fair Value$9.60
Current Price$2.96
Upside224.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.100.260.250.380.390.330.340.380.17
YoY Growth---100.00%-61.54%4.00%-34.21%-2.56%18.18%-2.94%-10.53%123.64%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%3.55%5.19%4.07%5.08%8.48%4.50%4.51%4.36%1.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)284.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.1443.2125.93
Cash Retained (M)284.40284.40284.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.14-43.21-25.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)215.26241.19258.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)607.73607.73607.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.38%6.38%6.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.32$6.67$8.24
Upside / Downside79.69%125.42%178.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.70342.25338.82335.43332.08328.76338.62
Payout Ratio17.73%32.19%46.64%61.09%75.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.30110.15158.02204.93250.87295.88313.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.38%6.38%6.38%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)102.50103.54104.59
Year 2 PV (M)136.82139.63142.46
Year 3 PV (M)165.09170.20175.41
Year 4 PV (M)188.06195.86203.89
Year 5 PV (M)206.38217.13228.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,454.436,790.537,140.48
Equity Value (M)7,253.287,616.887,995.15
Shares Outstanding (M)607.73607.73607.73
Fair Value$11.94$12.53$13.16
Upside / Downside303.21%323.43%344.45%

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