DDM Analysis: RYAN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.16 - $10.92	$7.32
Multi-Stage	$14.82 - $16.31	$15.55
Blended Fair Value	$11.43
Current Price	$56.36
Upside	-79.71%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	2.11%	0.00%	0.34	0.00	0.17	0.20	0.21	0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	-15.32%	-6.04%	-30.67%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.46%	0.00%	0.42%	0.51%	0.77%	1.11%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	69.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	60.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	8.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.83	8.65	5.19
Cash Retained (M)	8.62	8.62	8.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.83	-8.65	-5.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-5.22	-0.03	3.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	237.66	237.66	237.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.00	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.00	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.23	0.25	0.27
WACC / Discount Rate	4.63%	4.63%	4.63%
Growth Rate	0.11%	1.11%	2.11%
Fair Value	$5.16	$7.32	$10.92
Upside / Downside	-90.85%	-87.01%	-80.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	69.17	69.94	70.71	71.50	72.29	73.09	75.28
Payout Ratio	87.54%	88.03%	88.52%	89.02%	89.51%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	60.55	61.57	62.60	63.64	64.70	65.78	69.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.63%	4.63%	4.63%
Growth Rate	0.11%	1.11%	2.11%
Year 1 PV (M)	58.26	58.85	59.43
Year 2 PV (M)	56.06	57.19	58.32
Year 3 PV (M)	53.94	55.57	57.24
Year 4 PV (M)	51.89	54.00	56.17
Year 5 PV (M)	49.93	52.47	55.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,251.26	3,416.93	3,589.28
Equity Value (M)	3,521.34	3,695.00	3,875.55
Shares Outstanding (M)	237.66	237.66	237.66
Fair Value	$14.82	$15.55	$16.31
Upside / Downside	-73.71%	-72.41%	-71.07%

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Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. (RYAN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener