Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Zurn Water Solutions Corporation (RXN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.75 - $15.28$12.98
Multi-Stage$16.41 - $18.02$17.20
Blended Fair Value$15.09
Current Price$64.95
Upside-76.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS0.00%0.00%0.330.160.140.140.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--108.09%17.24%0.00%427.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.70%0.45%0.46%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)277.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)210.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.4434.6520.79
Cash Retained (M)210.40210.40210.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.44-34.65-20.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)154.96175.75189.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)171.80171.80171.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.901.021.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.901.021.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.75$12.98$15.28
Upside / Downside-83.45%-80.02%-76.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)277.20274.43271.68268.97266.28263.61271.52
Payout Ratio24.10%37.28%50.46%63.64%76.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.80102.30137.09171.17204.55237.25251.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)92.2693.2094.14
Year 2 PV (M)111.49113.78116.09
Year 3 PV (M)125.54129.42133.38
Year 4 PV (M)135.29140.90146.68
Year 5 PV (M)141.51148.88156.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,213.272,328.522,448.53
Equity Value (M)2,819.352,954.693,095.36
Shares Outstanding (M)171.80171.80171.80
Fair Value$16.41$17.20$18.02
Upside / Downside-74.73%-73.52%-72.26%

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