Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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RWE AG (RWE.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.52 - $120.94$84.07
Multi-Stage$47.02 - $51.24$49.09
Blended Fair Value$66.58
Current Price$35.43
Upside87.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.89%-3.49%1.010.910.830.780.670.691.390.220.551.45
YoY Growth--11.21%9.85%5.91%16.87%-3.34%-50.34%544.65%-60.93%-61.96%0.85%
Dividend Yield--3.05%2.93%2.08%1.97%1.99%2.88%5.87%1.07%3.55%12.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,579.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,206.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,373.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)515.80322.38193.43
Cash Retained (M)1,373.001,373.001,373.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-515.80-322.38-193.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)857.201,050.631,179.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)738.17738.17738.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.421.60
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.421.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.803.063.23
WACC / Discount Rate10.37%10.37%10.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60.52$84.07$120.94
Upside / Downside70.81%137.29%241.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,579.002,746.642,925.173,115.303,317.803,533.453,639.46
Payout Ratio46.76%55.41%64.06%72.70%81.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,206.001,521.911,873.792,264.982,699.113,180.113,366.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.37%10.37%10.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,365.931,378.881,391.83
Year 2 PV (M)1,509.391,538.141,567.17
Year 3 PV (M)1,637.531,684.541,732.43
Year 4 PV (M)1,751.411,818.761,888.04
Year 5 PV (M)1,852.041,941.492,034.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,592.8627,877.3029,210.91
Equity Value (M)34,709.1636,239.1237,824.74
Shares Outstanding (M)738.17738.17738.17
Fair Value$47.02$49.09$51.24
Upside / Downside32.71%38.56%44.63%

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