DDM Analysis: ROK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$139.08 - $293.61	$197.13
Multi-Stage	$171.28 - $187.53	$179.26
Blended Fair Value	$188.19
Current Price	$349.53
Upside	-46.16%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	4.56%	5.38%	5.22	5.04	4.79	4.59	4.39	4.18	4.06	3.89	3.45	3.34
YoY Growth	-	-	3.50%	5.27%	4.43%	4.49%	5.14%	2.83%	4.31%	12.82%	3.31%	8.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.49%	1.76%	1.54%	1.78%	1.26%	1.67%	2.00%	2.59%	1.76%	2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	869.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	591.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	278.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	173.80	108.63	65.18
Cash Retained (M)	278.00	278.00	278.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-173.80	-108.63	-65.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	104.20	169.38	212.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	113.20	113.20	113.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.92	1.50	1.88
LTM Dividend per Share	5.22	5.22	5.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.92	1.50	1.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.14	6.72	7.10
WACC / Discount Rate	7.09%	7.09%	7.09%
Growth Rate	2.56%	3.56%	4.56%
Fair Value	$139.08	$197.13	$293.61
Upside / Downside	-60.21%	-43.60%	-16.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	869.00	899.97	932.05	965.26	999.66	1,035.29	1,066.35
Payout Ratio	68.01%	72.41%	76.81%	81.20%	85.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	591.00	651.65	715.86	783.83	855.73	931.76	986.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.09%	7.09%	7.09%
Growth Rate	2.56%	3.56%	4.56%
Year 1 PV (M)	602.61	608.49	614.36
Year 2 PV (M)	612.18	624.18	636.29
Year 3 PV (M)	619.87	638.18	656.84
Year 4 PV (M)	625.81	650.57	676.07
Year 5 PV (M)	630.14	661.46	694.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	16,298.66	17,108.86	17,950.97
Equity Value (M)	19,389.26	20,291.74	21,228.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	113.20	113.20	113.20
Fair Value	$171.28	$179.26	$187.53
Upside / Downside	-51.00%	-48.72%	-46.35%

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Financial Statements

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Ticker

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Sector

Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener