Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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B. Riley Financial, Inc. - 6.37 (RILYM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - ConglomeratesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$172.42 - $203.14$190.37
Multi-Stage$113.97 - $125.04$119.40
Blended Fair Value$154.89
Current Price$5.98
Upside2,490.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.89%53.03%1.114.633.9211.391.271.350.740.550.180.17
YoY Growth---76.09%18.12%-65.59%794.86%-5.70%81.35%35.39%214.12%2.20%989.56%
Dividend Yield--28.60%20.60%13.80%16.28%2.26%7.33%4.38%2.82%1.17%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.233.892.33
Cash Retained (M)13.4213.4213.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.23-3.89-2.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.199.5211.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.4830.4830.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.580.580.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.310.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.820.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate3.00%3.00%3.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$172.42$190.37$203.14
Upside / Downside2,783.26%3,083.46%3,296.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.1333.1635.3137.6140.0542.6543.93
Payout Ratio56.91%63.53%70.14%76.76%83.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.7221.0624.7728.8733.4038.3940.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.00%3.00%3.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20.2620.4520.64
Year 2 PV (M)22.9123.3523.79
Year 3 PV (M)25.6826.4227.17
Year 4 PV (M)28.5829.6830.81
Year 5 PV (M)31.6033.1234.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,344.723,506.273,674.01
Equity Value (M)3,473.753,639.293,811.12
Shares Outstanding (M)30.4830.4830.48
Fair Value$113.97$119.40$125.04
Upside / Downside1,805.85%1,896.68%1,990.95%

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