Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Reece Limited (REH.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.42 - $176.90$64.73
Multi-Stage$22.41 - $24.49$23.43
Blended Fair Value$44.08
Current Price$14.35
Upside207.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.64%9.07%0.240.250.230.190.120.180.180.160.140.12
YoY Growth---3.00%8.70%17.95%62.50%-31.74%0.00%12.89%7.45%18.99%19.70%
Dividend Yield--1.69%1.00%1.24%1.42%0.51%1.91%1.78%1.24%1.86%1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)736.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)318.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)417.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)147.2292.0155.21
Cash Retained (M)417.96417.96417.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-147.22-92.01-55.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)270.74325.95362.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)645.98645.98645.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.500.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.500.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.911.001.05
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.42$64.73$176.90
Upside / Downside153.82%351.07%1,132.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)736.11783.96834.91889.18946.981,008.531,038.79
Payout Ratio43.22%52.58%61.93%71.29%80.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)318.15412.17517.08633.88763.68907.68960.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)377.57381.15384.72
Year 2 PV (M)433.90442.16450.50
Year 3 PV (M)487.25501.24515.49
Year 4 PV (M)537.74558.42579.69
Year 5 PV (M)585.47613.75643.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,056.7912,639.1313,243.77
Equity Value (M)14,478.7015,135.8415,817.28
Shares Outstanding (M)645.98645.98645.98
Fair Value$22.41$23.43$24.49
Upside / Downside56.19%63.28%70.63%

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