DDM Analysis: RDN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$42.20 - $67.64	$53.72
Multi-Stage	$69.63 - $76.51	$73.00
Blended Fair Value	$63.36
Current Price	$36.22
Upside	74.93%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	136.34%	55.28%	1.06	1.01	0.94	0.72	0.68	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	4.15%	7.73%	31.11%	5.99%	4,628.68%	-3.69%	-0.65%	2.33%	5.46%	7.02%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.19%	3.09%	4.26%	3.23%	2.91%	0.11%	0.07%	0.08%	0.08%	0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	576.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	147.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	428.61

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	115.22	72.01	43.21
Cash Retained (M)	428.61	428.61	428.61
(-) Cash Required (M)	-115.22	-72.01	-43.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)	313.39	356.60	385.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	143.98	143.98	143.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.18	2.48	2.68
LTM Dividend per Share	1.02	1.02	1.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.18	2.48	2.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.20	3.50	3.70
WACC / Discount Rate	7.44%	7.44%	7.44%
Growth Rate	-0.13%	0.87%	1.87%
Fair Value	$42.20	$53.72	$67.64
Upside / Downside	16.52%	48.30%	86.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	576.09	581.08	586.12	591.20	596.33	601.50	619.54
Payout Ratio	25.60%	38.48%	51.36%	64.24%	77.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	147.48	223.60	301.03	379.79	459.89	541.35	573.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.44%	7.44%	7.44%
Growth Rate	-0.13%	0.87%	1.87%
Year 1 PV (M)	206.05	208.11	210.18
Year 2 PV (M)	255.63	260.78	265.97
Year 3 PV (M)	297.20	306.22	315.41
Year 4 PV (M)	331.64	345.12	359.01
Year 5 PV (M)	359.74	378.11	397.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,574.73	9,012.72	9,468.43
Equity Value (M)	10,024.99	10,511.06	11,016.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	143.98	143.98	143.98
Fair Value	$69.63	$73.00	$76.51
Upside / Downside	92.23%	101.55%	111.24%

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Radian Group Inc. (RDN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener